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Probability in Video Games: A Guide
A broad tour of where chance appears in video games: hit chances, critical hits, loot drops and procedural worlds, and how to reason about each one.
Probability by Game
Video Games
Drop rates, loot mechanics and randomness in digital games.
Adapting to Probability in Real-Time Strategy Games
How to think about fog of war, scouting and random combat results in real-time strategy games, using expected value, variance and risk under uncertainty.
Critical Hit Chances and How They Stack
Learn how several independent critical hit chances combine, why they rarely add up simply, and how crit chance and crit damage work together on average.
Exploiting Probability in Multiplayer Games
How pseudo-random distribution and bad luck protection work in multiplayer games, and what players can reasonably infer from them without cheating.
Game Theory and Probability in Competitive Gaming
An introduction to mixed strategies in game theory, using rock-paper-scissors and simple examples to show why unpredictable choices matter against thinking opponents.
How to Calculate Probability in Video Games
Work out the chance of getting a drop within a set number of attempts using the complement rule, with checked examples and the limits of what the numbers say.
Optimizing Probability in Multiplayer Games
How team choices and matchmaking change the spread of outcomes in multiplayer games, viewed through variance, series length and team composition odds.
Probability in Online Gaming: A Guide
Loot boxes and gacha pity systems explained as probability structures, with a checked illustration and a clear look at their gambling-like risks.
Procedural Generation and Seeded Randomness
How games build levels and worlds from a seed so they are random yet reproducible, and why the same seed can give the same world every time.
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